Public opinion is characterized by skepticism and a strong mistrust towards Putin's commitment to the nuclear arms treaty, highlighting the perception that Russia's adherence is driven by financial limitations rather than genuine intent. Many commenters doubt the functionality of Russia's nuclear arsenal, citing ongoing sanctions and conflicts as barriers to any real capability to expand or maintain their nuclear strength.

Putin

NATO

Russia

Was this the hyped up security news that was posted 2 hours ago?

Ghost_Reborn416

translation: we will continue to violate whatever treaty you think we might honor, as per policy

evermuzik

Mysterious-Prompt212

Alternative translation:

&gt;We're a little busy pumping all our resources into trying to subjugate Ukraine just now, and most of our nuclear missiles are probably duds, so I'm going to wait a while before looking at nuclear Armageddon again.

canspop

Does anyone believe they actually respect any treaty?

FatherlyNick

It seems he is running out of money, just another distraction .

PanneKopp

I spent 50 years in US Intel.

After the Vega hack last year, the likelihood that Russia has any remaining functional nuclear weapons is slim. 

https://english.nv.ua/amp/ukrainian-hackers-paralyze-russian-nuclear-weapons-manufacturer-50443802.html

What they disabled in those servers handles everything including mobile unit nuclear forces activation codes. 

Arming for Russian mobile launchers is input locally then authorized remotely. 

So if they have any functional warheads, it’s because they’ve manually replaced and recoded those warheads, and upon the last INF inspections prior to the Ukraine war, Russia had dismantled its entire warhead trigger manufacturing system to the point of no return. 

So I’m guessing we’re looking at retrofitting old SS-18 designs used by the North Koreans to Russian ballistic missiles. North Koreans have a 70% failure rate on their triggers. Bad geometry. 

Either way, this is total BS. Russia touting commitment to any treaty is total bullshit. Even under the SALT treaties we had to call them back to fix the obvious relabels they made. We test the material you dipshits. If it says Zelenegorsk-76 and you label it Mira-22, we know with a spectrum analysis it’s not the same reactor, and you don’t know where that warhead is because someone sold it to a Taliban for a few dozen kids to pump into your pay-to-play kiddie diddler brothels for celebrities and US politicians. 

I’ll believe Russia still has a nuke when they use one, until then, the short stack crackerjack is just fondling himself and feeding Vodka to Medvedev to say the shit he’s too pussy to say himself. 

Hi, Vladdy. How’s the shoulder? clicking? You can still kiss my ass between the cheeks. 

I have personal beef with that asshole before he was a president. 

Semion should have strangled him in the fucking crib.

OgJollyRoger

Oh good, I've missed the old duck and cover drills from the 70s and 80s

sirhackenslash

After someone finds out how to neutralise nuclear weapons, we should just reset Russia. Split it into smaller states, good luck.

Bloody_Ozran

Beneficial-Link-3020

Russia doesn't have the money to maintain their current stock, let alone to build new ones in the middle of an armed conflict that isn't going their way, and international sanctions.

They're not doing anyone a favour by sticking to the treaty one more year afterwards, they're just spinning the fact that they can't do it into an announcement that they're nice enough to not do it.

Zefyris

I understand why NATO cannot put a hit out on this disgruntled spider eyed little sociopath (Putin). What I don’t understand is why the west doesn’t do a smear campaign and leak documents on him.
drones through Ukraine could easily deliver information to civilians outlining information about Putin and the war.

nelsonself

Well, I don't know, everything is obvious.

Lidraughtui346

What we need is a to develop a way to counteract nuclear weapons, make them worthless.

LurkingWriter25

Ok then nuclear war ww3 after 1 year gotcha, release gta6 faster i gotta see that shit. 

RoyalCookie1188

Brigantias

Let me guess 


He's setting up the stage to turn this into "I was willing to put nuclear weapons away but NATO provoked me" 

vector_o

So in other words: Russia doesn't actually have the cash to expand their nuke stockpile, so they are making a performative gesture of fake goodwill out of them being broke ass.

OnlyRise9816

Fucking russia their words mean absolutely nothing

wildrabbit12

Putin says, without saying, that Russia doesn’t have the funds, expertise, or capability to exceed nuclear arms limits this year.

Flatus_Diabolic

My feeling is that they don't really have many working nuclear warheads anymore. Too expensive to maintain, they almost certainly have way less than they claim - it's possible they have even less than the UK.

ApprehensiveGold2773

Right up there with 'China expresses concern' in the sea of international developments that have meaning

atineiatte

Putin will always chicken out! Just like TACO! No one is scared of Russia especially Eastern Europe. Go ahead try it Putin, you are gonna lose and no one is launching any nukes!

ballzsweat

Sure, sure. And tRump will release the list next week

justchill-itsnotreal

In June they reduced their strategic aviation by third, Putin is so peaceful.

vkarabut

good. i'm tired of this ride we're on anyway.

dr3wzy10

Completely meaningless- who will confirm this to be true exactly?

minarima

This is just bluff Russia spends around 15% even less to maintain their nukes compared to what US spends so you can guarantee they haven’t got that many Nukes that are actually functional what they claim.

samuel10998

Believing Putin now is the same as believing Hitler wasn't remilitarizing in 1933.

StellarJayEnthusiast

dkuznetsov

Good news. Maybe we can also negotiate a return to the other security related treaties that Trump pulled out of in his first term.

aLittleSkoof

In order news, Russia is about to come out with a new nuclear weapon delivery system, but is a year out.’

Snizlefritz

Isn't like the 45th times they treat with nuclear weapons at this point ?

Zanoss10

Puzzled_Worth_4287

I wonder what the odds are that Russia has kept the majority of their nuclear arsenal maintained...

Raised_bi_Wolves

This is probably for budgetary reasons. Why expand the nuclear arsenal when the current arsenal can't even leave the ground yet?

Speedy059

elguapodiablo74

Joke.

Russia can’t afford nuclear arms.

onlyPornstuffs

Has Trump declared this to be a big win for him yet?  He’s going to act like this was his initiative, just liked he lied about making peace between India and Pakistan and about a half dozen other conflicts around the world that he had nothing to do with.

I_Framed_OJ

Russia and America could both end human life on Earth several times over each with their nuclear weapons.  Who cares if they add more at tuis point?  Is the fourth time having my molecules vaporized the worst or something because it seems like once is enough.

MrPantsyFlants

Didn’t realise The I was owned by the Daily Mail now. Explains this absolute scaremongering crap and lack of any substance in the article to support the headline.

IncreaseInVerbosity

No it won't be lots of reasons we could cite as to why it won't be.

* Putin knows that there is a chance if he gives such an order his military know he is signing their own death warrants and as such the military may chose to not follow through his order and instead put a bullet in his head. 
* There is a chance that he launches a nuke and said nuke does not detonate (am not saying all rusisan nukes are duds am saying some are)
* China would be very unhappy and it very well could turn China against Russia. 
* A single detonation on Ukraine would effectively be Russia nuking their own territory in their eyes, remember Russia takes a view that Ukraine isn't a real country and has always been part of Russia 
* A single nuclear detonation in Ukraine could and probably would provoke a NATO response this would probably not be nuclear but would involve NATO strikes against multiple Russian targets inside Ukraine. 
* Russia knows this is a huge step up the ladder of escalation that could result in all out Nuclear war and put them in a MAD situation. 

The list probably goes on. 

The media, Russia and even some western politicians like to keep this idea in our head that its all going to go nuclear for various reasons but right now i don't see it. Things could obviously change, the operation in Poland and its fallout being one potential flash point but right now i don't see it happening.

DarthKrataa

Let's first remind ourselves that Moscow would likely become a pariah state and almost certainly lose most, if not all support from India, China, and Iran should it actually use nuclear weapons. It is a surefire way of scuppering its own goals.

That being said, Russia has claimed it would go nuclear on almost every change in weapons deliveries/policy or small comment by western nations. Some examples would be: 
Immediately at the start of the war if Ukraine was supported.
The delivery of challenger 2 tanks.
The delivery of other western tanks.
The delivery of any, firstly, short, then later long range missile systems.
The imposition of western sanctions and almost every sanctions package since.
To be honest, I started ignoring it after a certain point it was just that ubiquitous, but I'm confident it still continues, even if it's not necessarily Putin saying it and just several of their state broadcasters.

It also arbitrarily changed the wording slightly in its nuclear doctrine then went on to pull out of (I think two) nuclear weapons treaties.

Essentially, Russia is in a situation where it has cried wolf too much, and I am inclined to believe that until the regime is actually threatened there is no reason to believe Moscow's nuclear rhetoric

BasiliusTimIII

Has Russia ever not acted like an imperialist aggressor nation? Honestly asking. Was their any period on their history where this wasn't the case?

(bonus points if you can answer without whataboutism)

PressPausePlay

The swift conclusion to the incursion by more than [a dozen Russian drones](https://inews.co.uk/opinion/russia-drone-attack-poland-donald-trump-tusk-3910946?ico=in-line_link) into Poland this week is that that these provocations are more than likely to be repeated, and that Nato must do more to prevent this. “Nato must build its anti drone wall,” suggests the Polish foreign minister, Radek Sikorski.

The debate still rages about whether the [Russian drone invasion](https://inews.co.uk/opinion/russia-drone-attack-poland-donald-trump-tusk-3910946?ico=most_popular) was by accident or design. Either way, it could mark a dramatic and unpredictable widening of the conflict in Ukraine. Russia now has the Nato allies of the region – the Baltics, Poland and Finland, especially – in its sights. A major military exercise through the next few days in Belarus will involve nuclear-capable forces. The possibility of nuclear accident is palpable.

The drones appear to have been a mix of attack drones and decoys, designed to spoof air defence radars and distract air defence missiles and aircraft. According to reports [from Poland](https://inews.co.uk/topic/poland?ico=in-line_link), Polish and Lithuanian SIM cards were found among the drone wreckage. This suggests that the Russians are working out attack paths into these countries’ air space and connecting the drones to local mobile networks.

The American former security adviser and noted strategist General HR McMaster told the BBC that he thought the drone salvo on Tuesday and Wednesday was deliberate. It was a probing mission to test immediate air defences along Nato’s borders – [and to test Nato’s resolve.](https://inews.co.uk/news/ive-been-in-nato-article-4-meeting-what-really-like-3910608?ico=in-line_link)

Russia’s [war in Ukraine](https://inews.co.uk/news/world/russias-latest-deadly-strikes-on-ukraine-show-putin-remains-intent-on-conquest-3907848?ico=in-line_link) is reaching a critical stage. If it continues to go sour, the survival of Putin’s non-ideological autocratic regime could be at stake.

For the time being – and perhaps forever, under this Kremlin cabal – serious peace negotiations are off the table. Putin and his generals are aiming to win a headline victory by winter – otherwise they face another year of grinding war.

theipaper

Why? That extremely stupid idea "Putin's next move could be nuclear" He is doing just fine for himself as is. Naturally that what he wants to cell "O, my next move could be nuclear! I am really crazy dangerous!"  
He want to leave till 150 - why would he go ballistic?

vovap_vovap

PM_ME__RECIPES

I don't see a nuclear play until Russia is truly isolated and no option left. 


They are basically winning in Ukraine with war of attrition. 

Mannipx

So posts like this usually imply that Russia is too weak to win Ukraine, but is trying to attack the whole NATO at the very same time? Would anybody explain this to me please?..

li1vinenko

bsproutsy

Putin announced adherence to the New START treaty for another year, underscoring the importance of maintaining nuclear arms limits amidst growing international tensions.

Putin Nuclear Arms Treaty Extension

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